What are the odds of that? Applying probability analysis to a thesis. How to assign a probability to range of scenarios or a specific catalyst. Two real-world examples. (In whose favor are the odds of ...

Predicting the future has never been more important – or more difficult. We have a strong sense that we need to prepare, but only a limited understanding of what exactly to prepare for. While the ...

Here is a depressing fact: over the coming decades, sea-level rise will continue to threaten ecosystems, communities and cities. No matter how quickly we reduce our carbon emissions, our past ...

Chennai: Amidst heightened levels of uncertainty created by geo-political and economic turmoil, the Economic Survey is unable to project one possible scenario for 2026. Instead, it chose to present ...

Our highest probability scenario has come true in the Israel Iran war. This scenario was given in advance as the highest probability scenario on June 13 morning, just after Israel’s first attack. Our ...